Current good deals for real estate investors, landlords are deals that turned bad for previous investors and lenders that provided financing to the investors. Commercial property values have declined considerably and in some areas, as much as 40%, which has led some of the experts to suggest that commercial real estate market, has hit the bottom.
Other real estate industry members are predicting that the commercial real estate will not hit the bottom until 2011 or later and it would be risky to make any investments earlier than 2011. Some of the phrases that are being used to forecast the commercial real estate market are “Early is the new wrong” or “Slow motion train wreck” as compared to residential real estate market that blew up.
Commercial real estate market will start recovering when the lending market opens up and the current short-term loans with high rates on decreased property values are either refinanced or paid over longer time. Some lenders are taking the approach of extending the loans hoping that property values recover and they are able to collect on most of their loans. Is commercial real estate at 40% below 2004 prices a good deal?
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